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The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.SHIBOR reported 1.4040% overnight, down by 7.80 basis points. In 7 days, SHIBOR reported 1.7580%, up 12.30 basis points. SHIBOR reported 1.7350% in three months, down by 0.50 basis point.Meijin Energy has set up a new coal washing company with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise investigation APP, Shanxi Meijin Taiyue Coal Washing Co., Ltd. was recently established, with Wu Yong as the legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: coal washing; Sales of coal and products; Coal-based activated carbon and other coal processing. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Meijin Energy.

The annual evaluation report of the big model in the financial field was released, and the big model of Step Star/Fortune Leap Star performed well. The 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology was held in Shanghai. At the meeting, Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, together with Shanghai University of Finance and Economics and Shanghai Cooper Technology Co., Ltd., released the Report on Evaluation of Large Models in Financial Field (2024), which comprehensively evaluated 20 models from five dimensions: model basic ability, financial security and value alignment ability, financial risk control ability, financial professional cognitive ability and financial business auxiliary expansion ability. The comprehensive scores of Anthropic, Step Star/Fortune Star and Alibaba ranked in the top three. Step-2-16k model of Step Star/Fortune Star got the second comprehensive score, and the multi-modal comprehensive score of Finstep model got the first.Zaks, managing director of the European Central Bank: If necessary, the interest rate can be greatly reduced. zaks, managing director of the European Central Bank, said that if economic development requires it, the interest rate cut may be increased. Although zaks thinks that the gradual approach is appropriate, he warns that the impact of geopolitics and war may bring "new impetus" to inflation. Kazakhstan said in a blog post on Friday: "If necessary, this range can be greater than 0.25%." "The current method-analysis/decision based on data and each meeting-is very suitable for this situation." Zaks also said that the future trend of interest rates is also very clear, that is, downward. The neutral interest rate is closer to 2% than 3%, so it is still necessary to cut interest rates sharply.Guangxi Energy established a new energy company, and the enterprise search APP showed that Fengyuan (Pinggui District, Hezhou City) New Energy Co., Ltd. was established recently, with Xie Jianheng as the legal representative and a registered capital of 400 million yuan. Its business scope includes: energy storage technical services; Contract energy management; Big data service; Electric vehicle charging infrastructure operation, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Guangxi Energy.

Jinshanyun's information technology company increased its capital to USD 500 million. Tianyancha App shows that Jinshan Yun (Hainan Yangpu) Information Technology Co., Ltd. has undergone industrial and commercial changes recently, and its registered capital has increased from USD 400 million to USD 500 million. The company was established in August 2022, and its legal representative is Zou Tao. Its business scope is Internet domain name registration service, computer software and hardware and auxiliary equipment wholesale, technical service, technical development, technical consultation, technical exchange, technology transfer, technology promotion, information system integration service, software development and software sales, and it is wholly owned by Jinshanyun Co., Ltd.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.Shenzhen Stock Exchange: The Shenzhen Stock Exchange, together with the Financial Office of Henan Provincial Party Committee, Henan Securities Regulatory Bureau and Zhengzhou Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Government, jointly held an industrial exchange meeting on "Shenzhen M&A Revitalizing Quality". This activity focused on the advantageous industries of high-end equipment manufacturing in Henan Province, discussed in depth the development characteristics of the industry and the main points of M&A investment, built an exchange platform, conveyed the concept of supervision, supported the integration of upstream and downstream of the industrial chain, strictly prevented insider trading in M&A and reorganization, and helped Henan develop new quality productivity according to local conditions. Next, Shenzhen Stock Exchange will continue to implement the requirements of "Six Articles on M&A" in accordance with the unified deployment of China Securities Regulatory Commission, adhere to the direction of marketization, adhere to the major strategy of serving the country, give full play to the role of the capital market as the main channel in enterprise M&A and reorganization, take various measures to support listed companies to standardize M&A and reorganization, promote the landing of high-quality cases, strengthen exchanges with market players, and strive to create a healthy and orderly market ecology.